Its fair to include future road tax while calculating electric car running cost, yeah, still overall cost would greatly depend on usage pattern/area
maintenance cost should be down as well, no gearbox/oil changes, low number of moving parts
charging at night(majority of usage) should be cheap and welcomed by the grid,
as there is no point shutting down wind turbines or reactors overnight
battery packs could ultimately be nationwide distributed storage of electricity supplementing grid
as many cars are back home parked before evening surge of use, only minority would fully drain their car battery on average commute, i.e. batteries would be fully discharged only on holiday trips, in commercial use, otherwise proper 60+ capacity would be plenty
real cost of fossil fuels is much higher that what you pay at the pump, considering social/health/env implications