I just filled up the tank on my 2021 and I drove it maybe 5 miles from there.
....
The cold weather shouldn't affect the estimate right?
5 miles isn't by any standard a
relevant distance to gauge mpg by!
Oh yes! - Cold weather does indeed affect mpgs adversely! The shorter the distance you're driving the worse!
(and definitely also governed by your cabin air temperature setting: The higher the demanded temperature, the more heat is required - the only way the Jazz can generate heat is by running the ICE and thus burning petrol and ruining your mpgs at the same time).
All of this isn't "rocket science" but has always been the case. Only the impact on mpg is more noticable with economic cars as the Jazz.
If your car routinely gives you 25 mpg you won't worry that much about two mpg less.
But you will probably notice the difference if your car normaly gives you 65 mpg and suddenly drops to 53 mpg!
While nominally it is the same amount of petrol consumed additionally.
(if you convert mpg to the continentally used fuel efficency of L/100km it becomes a lot more evident)