I agree with anti roll bar. I've not touched the arb on my Jazz, but they shouldn't move about like yours does. It looks like it's swinging freely, and that shouldn't be the case.
The arb is attached to the subframe with two bushing and at the end with a link. Get a pry bar and see if the arb is moving about in the bushings. If not, it's the links.
Yeah, it could be any of the other items you mention, but I would start with the arb as it's moving about a lot. That, and it's a cheap enough fix.
Out of interest, have you compared it to the other side to see if it's the same?
Remote diagnosis is tricky, but check out videos on Youtube (it's what I do to learn! So much easier than trying to work from a Haynes manual like we had to years ago.
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